Brian Noer -
Gold-MiningStocks.com
November 2005
Gold-MiningStocks.com (GMS)
reports that upon market opening on Thursday the price of gold hit $483.20
per ounce, near the highest point in almost 18 years as investment funds and
speculators searched for alternatives to currencies, stocks and bonds. Gold
futures were up 13% from the beginning of 2005. The buying was done mainly
by funds, with investors jumping aboard upon the release of the World Gold
Council’s report on third quarter Gold demand which stated that Asian
consumer demand in particular is strong.
Precious mineral buying increased on Wednesday upon speculations that gold
would hit $500 per ounce (last seen in 1987) due to investor concerns about
the US economy and geopolitical instability. Dorothy Atkinson, Broker with
Bolder Investment Partners, sees the $500 projection as a safe bet, “The
trend is your friend – the trend which has been in place for many years is
not a particularly steep one, and I fully anticipate we will get to $500 per
ounce in the near future.”
“Portions of the world's population are starting to remember that currencies
have risk and that gold is one of the world's best stores of value/proxy for
money,” said Michael Meyers, President of Running Fox Resources (TSXV:
RUN) a company that features an advanced high grade gold project and a
highly prospective Alberta natural gas project, both located in Canada. “The
US is quietly favoring a lower valued dollar in order to pay back foreign
debt with those same depreciated dollars. At the same time energy prices are
very strong and appear to be going higher over the next 3 months, and there
has traditionally been a strong correlation between gold and oil.”
NYSE Gold Stocks rallied at close of business on Wednesday. Bolder’s
Atkinson explained that, “There is currently a move towards hard assets;
investors are buying gold stocks because they are interested in owning gold,
and the stocks provide leverage to the gold price.”
One of the public gold companies that is benefiting from the rally is Agnico-Eagle
Mines Ltd. (NYSE: AEM) whose stock jumped from below $14 on Tuesday,
to above $15 today (Thursday). David Smith, Director of Investor Relations
for Agnico-Eagle explained that rising demand as well as a weak US Dollar is
behind the current rally.
“The World Gold Council just came out with a report of positive demand
statistics, and bullish data. Demand is rising - there is talk of some
central banks adding gold to their reserves - and most market watchers in
general will say that mine supply will be flat at best or even declining
going forwards. This projection may explain the rise in our stock since we
recently announced our goal to double gold reserves and to triple gold
production by 2009.”
The precious metals market made gains as a whole with silver reaching 11
month highs and platinum hit a 26 year high. Gold has been seen to decouple
itself somewhat from its inverse relationship with currencies, as the US
dollar also rose upon projections of continuing Federal Reserve interest
rate increases.
Agnico-Eagle’s Smith said however that this decoupling is just normal market
volatility. “Gold is in a strong position due to the fact that the US Dollar
is fundamentally weak with its twin deficits. Recently it may seem that the
gold/dollar relationship has broken down to a small degree but over a longer
period of time that relationship should remain intact.”
Brian Noer
Brian Noer has a degree in Business and Economics from the University of
Western, Ontario. His career in the financial markets spans sixteen years
and several continents, including: Manager with The Bank of Montreal in
Canada, Associate Analyst with the structured finance group at Moody’s
Investor Services in the UK, and Editor for several financial trade
magazines in the UK for both Thomson Financial Publishing and Euromoney PLC
(titles include Thomson’s trade magazines “The International Securitisation
Report”, and “Capital Market Strategies”, and Euromoney’s “Asset Finance
International”). Brian is the Writer, Editor and Research Associate for the
InvestorIdeas.com portal team.
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